https://twitter.com/kabir_here/status/1323853080593604610 If I'm understanding this correctly, this basically means that Biden's national average in counties that have completely and totally reported… (View Post)

So where we stand now: AZ is probably Biden (called by some). He's up pretty reasonably in NE02. Based on partial results that we currently have, it looks like Biden might be underperforming his poll… (View Post)

For some reason, I didnt understand that the Purdue/Ossof race could go to a runoff. I knew the Warnock/Collins/Loefller could - but not the other one. That is important. Bullock is also running well… (View Post)

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1323812604989607936 There's some interesting biasing in the needle. So it's all not a forgone conclusion That said - I do think Trump is probably going to win FL,… (View Post)

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323359333003022336 @DinoDin - This is sort of why I'm worried about election night. I'll freely admit I didnt realize it could be this bad, but If you assume… (View Post)